‘Low Hire, Low Fire’: New Graduates Are Facing the Toughest Job Market Since the Pandemic 鈥斅燗nd It’s Not Why You Think

Recent graduates comprised just 7% of new hires in 2024, down a staggering 25% from 2023, according to a report.

By Sherin Shibu | edited by Brittany Robins | Mar 25, 2026
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Key Takeaways

  • Recent college graduates are entering the toughest labor market since the pandemic.
  • Unemployment for 22- to 27-year-old bachelor’s degree holders has risen to about 5.6%.
  • The slowdown in hiring is due to a “low-hire, low-fire” environment.

New college graduates this year are facing the bleakest hiring landscape since the pandemic. Demand for degree-bearing roles has stalled just as a wave of young workers enters the market, according to a recent report from .听

Employers have become more cautious about hiring, automating more tasks and favoring experienced candidates over entry-level hires, according to the Times. The result is higher unemployment and intense competition for a shrinking pool of suitable jobs. 

An analysis from found that the unemployment rate for recent college graduates ages 22 to 27 with a bachelor’s degree rose to around 5.6% by late 2025, the highest in three years and notably worse than the overall rate of 4.2%.听

More than 40% of employed recent graduates are in roles that do not require a bachelor’s degree, the highest share since 2020, per the Federal Reserve Bank. Even when new graduates find work, many are not using the skills or credentials they just paid for.听

鈥淭he appetite for hiring is definitely decreasing,鈥 Alli Goossens, the assistant director of employer engagement at North Dakota State University, told the Times. She noticed that fewer employers attended the university鈥檚 recent career fair. Some employers informed her that they were pulling back on hiring. 

鈥淚t was just reduced hiring numbers,鈥 she told the Times. 鈥淭hey just weren鈥檛 hiring quite as many.鈥

Is AI the culprit?

Young graduates are facing tougher job prospects 鈥 and that鈥檚 fueling larger questions about whether AI is obliterating the very careers they鈥檝e been working toward.

Dario Amodei, CEO of Anthropic, a AI company, last year that AI could wipe out half of entry-level, white-collar positions by 2030. A separate report from SignalFire, a venture capital firm that analyzes the movements of 650 million employees on LinkedIn, indicated that new graduates comprised just 7% of new hires in 2024, down 25% from 2023.听

AI might be cutting into a few entry-level roles here and there, but there鈥檚 not much proof it鈥檚 the main reason new grads are struggling to land jobs 鈥 at least not yet. Many economists say the bigger issue is the 鈥渓ow hire, low fire鈥 dynamic shaping today鈥檚 job market, per the Times. Employers are hiring fewer employees and keeping the ones they do have.

Employers are scaling back entry-level hiring

According to , job openings have been slipping and are now lower than they were before the pandemic, even as layoffs have remained rare. The result? Many employers have hit pause on hiring 鈥 and that slowdown is making it tough for anyone trying to break into the job market.

More than surveyed by the National Association of Colleges and Employers rate their hiring outlook for the Class of 2026 as 鈥減oor鈥 or 鈥渇air,鈥 marking the most pessimistic outlook since 2020. The survey showed that full-time job postings dropped 16% year-over-year in August, while applications per job simultaneously spiked by 26%, intensifying competition for each opening. 

鈥淭here鈥檚 just a general slowdown in hiring and less churn,鈥 Adam Ozimek, chief economist at nonpartisan think tank Economic Innovation Group, told the Times. 鈥淎nd so those who need their first jobs are probably disproportionately affected.鈥

Key Takeaways

  • Recent college graduates are entering the toughest labor market since the pandemic.
  • Unemployment for 22- to 27-year-old bachelor’s degree holders has risen to about 5.6%.
  • The slowdown in hiring is due to a “low-hire, low-fire” environment.

New college graduates this year are facing the bleakest hiring landscape since the pandemic. Demand for degree-bearing roles has stalled just as a wave of young workers enters the market, according to a recent report from .听

Employers have become more cautious about hiring, automating more tasks and favoring experienced candidates over entry-level hires, according to the Times. The result is higher unemployment and intense competition for a shrinking pool of suitable jobs. 

An analysis from found that the unemployment rate for recent college graduates ages 22 to 27 with a bachelor’s degree rose to around 5.6% by late 2025, the highest in three years and notably worse than the overall rate of 4.2%.听

Sherin Shibu News Reporter

91成人 Staff
Sherin Shibu is a business news reporter at 91成人.com. She previously worked for PCMag, Business... Read more
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